How Liverpool-Manchester City Could Affect the Odds of Winning the Premier League

This meeting between Liverpool and Manchester City feels as important as any November Premier League clash in recent memory, such is its potential significance in shaping the title race. While reigning champions City were most bookmakers’ pre-season favourite to lift the 2019/20 title, Liverpool’s flying start now has them in prime position to win their first Premier League.



While you can’t win the title in November, you might be able to lose it. Most of the teams in the league are already in that bracket – Spurs started the campaign expected to be a valiant third horse in a two-horse race, but they are already lagging 18 points behind Liverpool after just 11 matches. If City lose at Anfield, then Pep Guardiola’s side will be 9 points behind Jurgen Klopp’s Reds.

Last season, Liverpool commanded a 7-point advantage over City, but 14 straight league victories saw City pip Liverpool by one point to the title. If you can recover a January deficit of 7 points, then 9 points in November should be no cause for concern. However, that comeback from City last season was remarkable. You might not want to bet on the remarkable happening in consecutive title races, given that Liverpool are a year wiser and have another Champions League trophy in their cabinet.

If you held out on making a pre-season outright bet in order to see how the early months played out, then this could be the time to make a move. This pivotal match could not only shape the future of the title race, but it could shape the outright betting market for the rest of the season.

The Premier League Winner market at 22Bet, one of the top-rated sites at offering welcome bonuses for new members, has Liverpool as the favourite at 4/5. City follows closely behind at 11/10, but that could all change once the final whistle blows at Anfield. Prices will inevitably change after the match – here’s how the Premier League title odds could possibly be affected by this crucial encounter.

If Liverpool win – with a 9-point gap over City, Liverpool’s price will dramatically shorten as punters look to get on a probable title-winning bandwagon. If you think Liverpool are going to prevail over City, both at Anfield and in the title race, then there might not be any value in the outright market after Sunday. Conversely, if you expect Liverpool to win but back City to overhaul the Reds again, then wait on the outright market until after the match- you’ll be able to jump on a bigger price than 11/10.

If it’s a draw – there shouldn’t be any dramatic shift in prices, although City may well shorten. An away point at Anfield is valuable, while it would keep the margin at a relatively manageable 6 points. Liverpool travel to the Etihad in April, where City are always favourites. Draw at Anfield, win at the Etihad – City would only need to make up 3 points elsewhere over the course of the season.


If City win – any type of win at Anfield could cause City to overtake Liverpool in the title odds, even though they would remain 3 points behind in the table. Punters may well feel that a City win gives Guardiola’s side all-important momentum. If you think this match will be the start of City dominance, then explore outright options before the game.

These are two incredible sides determined to match each other stride for stride in this title race. Liverpool are now playing like a team that expects to win the title, rather than one that is merely hopeful. However, City have the big-game experience that has produced 4 Premier League titles. While the league table and the betting markets suggest that it is Liverpool’s race to lose, a City win at Anfield could make Guardiola’s side favourites once again.

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